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| Joe Biden and Donald Trump are in a tight race for November's election - AP Photo |
The 2024 U.S. Presidential Elections are shaping up to be a defining year for global politics. The race is not just between President Joe Biden for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, but also includes potential outside candidates like Robert F Kennedy Jr who may siphon crucial votes from both parties.
The Candidates and Their Policies
President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, has pitched his second term as a continuation of his first. He is vowing to defend rights such as abortion protections that some Republicans have threatened to erode. On the other hand, Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, has vowed retribution against his political opponents and has said he would appoint a special prosecutor to “go after” Biden and his family. The two candidates’ policies compare on the economy, immigration, abortion and other big issues.
The Political Landscape
The case could disrupt Donald Trump’s drive to return to the White House, putting the Supreme Court uncomfortably at the center of the 2024 presidential election. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is increasingly pressing Republican voters to avoid the temptation to refight the 2020 election next year, even as former President Donald Trump remains the dominant favorite for the 2024 GOP nomination.
The Predictions
According to FiveThirtyEight, Biden wins 51 times out of 100 in their simulations of the 2024 presidential election. Trump wins 49 times out of 100. Biden needs to win the national popular vote by 1.4 points to be favored to win a majority of electoral votes.
Public Opinion
A new Pew Research Center survey finds that the presidential race is virtually tied: 49% of registered voters favor Donald Trump or lean toward voting for him, while 48% support or lean toward Joe Biden. On many cultural issues, voters who support President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have starkly different opinions. Just 27% of registered voters who support Trump say the legacy of slavery affects the position of Black people in America today a great deal or fair amount; 73% say it has little or no impact. Biden and Trump supporters also have very different opinions across many other topics likely to be focal points in the campaign: gender identity and sexual orientation, crime and policing, reproductive issues, the influence of religion on society and the changes that have transformed life in the U.S. in recent decades.
Conclusion
The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is a significant event with potential global implications. The race is closely contested, with both candidates having strong support bases and differing policy stances. As the election approaches, it will be interesting to see how these dynamics play out and what the final outcome will be. For the most accurate and up-to-date information, please refer to the respective sources.
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